Statistics Profile

Daniel Lee

2004

Georgia Tech University Yellow Jacket Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1671	1016 - 2325	1671	1872
Épée	Direct elimination	1694	491 - 2896	1694	1694
Foil	Pool	943	281 - 1604	943	1046
Foil	Direct elimination	1588	349 - 2826	1588	1588
Saber	Pool	1215	455 - 1974	1215	1215
Saber	Direct elimination	1829	509 - 3148	1829	1829

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.