Statistics Profile

Adam Jin

2003

University of Maryland Terrapin Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	836	259 - 1412	836	1166
Épée	Direct elimination	1825	774 - 2875	1825	2227
Saber	Pool	911	670 - 1151	633	1080
Saber	Direct elimination	1181	688 - 1673	1127	2419

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.