Statistics Profile

NOBLE TRAN

1983

The Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1910	1611 - 2208	1768	2270
Épée	Direct elimination	2084	1465 - 2702	1632	2170
Saber	Pool	1276	302 - 2249	1276	1276
Saber	Direct elimination	1829	604 - 3053	1829	1829

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.