Statistics Profile

Ezra Zhou

2013

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1304	616 - 1991	1304	1304
Épée	Direct elimination	1838	808 - 2867	1838	1838
Foil	Pool	914	418 - 1409	914	952
Foil	Direct elimination	1701	815 - 2586	1701	2014

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.