Statistics Profile

Shepherd Pinney

1995

Columbia Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1450	705 - 2194	1450	1450
Épée	Direct elimination	1696	483 - 2908	1696	1696
Foil	Pool	956	450 - 1461	956	956
Foil	Direct elimination	1914	931 - 2896	1914	1914

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.