Statistics Profile

Charlie Williams

2010

ValorUSA Fencing Club LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1523	770 - 2275	1523	1523
Épée	Direct elimination	2227	1141 - 3312	2227	2227
Foil	Pool	1259	770 - 1747	1259	2047
Foil	Direct elimination	1777	831 - 2722	1777	2217

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.