Statistics Profile

Joshua Miller (Josh)

Verified

1998

High Plains Fencing Guild

Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1481	1210 - 1751	1364	1604
Épée	Direct elimination	1863	1308 - 2417	1446	2215
Foil	Pool	1417	564 - 2269	1417	1417
Foil	Direct elimination	2224	1036 - 3411	2224	2224

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.