Statistics Profile

Chelsea Kim

2014

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2314	1749 - 2878	2003	2314
Épée	Direct elimination	2533	1789 - 3276	1500	2533
Saber	Pool	1355	833 - 1876	1355	1825
Saber	Direct elimination	1559	668 - 2449	1559	1807

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.