Statistics Profile

Sophia Zhao

2013

Wanglei International Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	689	318 - 1059	449	689
Épée	Direct elimination	1034	355 - 1712	1034	1636
Foil	Pool	611	322 - 899	611	2123
Foil	Direct elimination	931	282 - 1579	931	1748

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.