Statistics Profile

Sophia Eby

2012

Boise Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	308	95 - 520	238	1170
Foil	Direct elimination	556	39 - 1072	547	2079
Saber	Pool	1315	626 - 2003	1315	1315
Saber	Direct elimination	2047	989 - 3104	2047	2047

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.