Statistics Profile

Daniel Bangayan

2012

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	988	570 - 1405	988	1485
Épée	Direct elimination	1753	1001 - 2504	1753	2000
Foil	Pool	1333	656 - 2009	1333	1333
Foil	Direct elimination	1970	929 - 3010	1970	1970

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.