Statistics Profile

Fernando Rivera

2010

Beverly Hills Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1221	911 - 1530	967	1825
Épée	Direct elimination	1252	547 - 1956	1252	2079
Foil	Pool	1344	811 - 1876	1344	1350
Foil	Direct elimination	1610	725 - 2494	1610	1781

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.