Statistics Profile

Fernando Rivera

2010

Beverly Hills Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1221	911 - 1530	967	1825
Épée	Direct elimination	1252	547 - 1956	1252	2079
Foil	Pool	1089	658 - 1519	1089	1350
Foil	Direct elimination	1545	691 - 2398	1545	1781
Saber	Pool	1409	722 - 2095	1409	1409
Saber	Direct elimination	1426	287 - 2564	1426	1426

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.