Statistics Profile

Kevin Sae-Tung

2004

College of William & Mary Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1495	1313 - 1676	796	1580
Foil	Direct elimination	1648	1395 - 1900	895	1653
Saber	Pool	1038	558 - 1517	943	1160
Saber	Direct elimination	1682	785 - 2578	1649	1808

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.