Statistics Profile

Kai Boyer

2005

Purdue Fencing Club-Purdue Univ.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2016	1651 - 2380	1992	3012
Épée	Direct elimination	2317	1862 - 2771	2102	2622
Foil	Pool	1282	953 - 1610	977	1446
Foil	Direct elimination	1721	1189 - 2252	1337	1843
Saber	Pool	1716	1177 - 2254	1716	1716
Saber	Direct elimination	1930	1031 - 2828	1930	1930

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.