Statistics Profile

Richard Hong

1977

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1367	703 - 2030	1367	1367
Épée	Direct elimination	1663	459 - 2866	1663	1663
Foil	Pool	1197	367 - 2026	1197	1197

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.