Statistics Profile

Sara Mohamed

2006

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1208	946 - 1469	1156	1436
Épée	Direct elimination	1504	1045 - 1962	1182	1561
Foil	Pool	417	150 - 683	314	1165
Foil	Direct elimination	808	331 - 1284	747	1809

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.