Statistics Profile

Aaliyah Zhang

2013

North Shore Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1158	903 - 1412	1134	1682
Épée	Direct elimination	1406	976 - 1835	1406	1821
Foil	Pool	830	411 - 1248	511	830
Foil	Direct elimination	1649	708 - 2589	1320	1649

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.