Statistics Profile

Jennifer Wu

2013

Pegasus Sword Academy Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	756	472 - 1039	517	915
Épée	Direct elimination	1406	813 - 1998	1327	1466
Foil	Pool	-40	0 - 191	-248	263
Foil	Direct elimination	709	311 - 1106	554	1277

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.