Statistics Profile

Siham Mohamed

2008

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1463	1258 - 1667	1380	1853
Épée	Direct elimination	1643	1256 - 2029	1307	1643
Foil	Pool	1141	627 - 1654	1141	2921
Foil	Direct elimination	1226	481 - 1970	1226	1430
Saber	Pool	623	172 - 1073	623	1327
Saber	Direct elimination	1334	336 - 2331	1334	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.