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Statistics Profile

Alysia Garcia (Aly)

Verified
2009
Bucks County Academy Of Fencing

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1552 1385 - 1718 983 2354
Épée Direct elimination 2070 1880 - 2259 1799 2760
Foil Pool 1392 1005 - 1778 712 1851
Foil Direct elimination 2528 1675 - 3380 2528 3466
Saber Pool 1090 423 - 1756 1028 1090
Saber Direct elimination 1713 506 - 2919 1713 1893

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.