Statistics Profile

Owen Fu

2011

Phoenix Falcons Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	963	525 - 1400	813	963
Épée	Direct elimination	1617	861 - 2372	1617	2140
Foil	Pool	1117	931 - 1302	913	1289
Foil	Direct elimination	1579	1295 - 1862	1254	1885

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.