Statistics Profile

Claire Xie

2015

Strength n Honor Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	913	273 - 1552	913	1763
Épée	Direct elimination	1617	722 - 2511	1617	2203
Foil	Pool	446	213 - 678	419	1207
Foil	Direct elimination	1269	850 - 1687	1269	1702

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.