Statistics Profile

Constantin Micu

2009

Rogue Fencers Guild

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1720	1540 - 1899	1483	1921
Épée	Direct elimination	1874	1611 - 2136	1629	1954
Foil	Pool	1751	731 - 2770	1751	1751
Foil	Direct elimination	1970	792 - 3147	1970	1970

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.