Statistics Profile

José Reyes-Lopez

2012

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	844	157 - 1530	844	1694
Épée	Direct elimination	1610	375 - 2844	1610	1610
Foil	Pool	943	453 - 1432	943	1735
Foil	Direct elimination	1383	488 - 2277	1383	2703

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.