Statistics Profile

Nathaniel Beaver

1980

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1258	390 - 2125	1258	1258
Épée	Direct elimination	1858	620 - 3095	1858	1858
Foil	Pool	1221	524 - 1917	1221	1221
Foil	Direct elimination	1680	529 - 2830	1680	1680

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.