Statistics Profile

Alison Xu

2016

Guanyi Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	274	0 - 786	274	878
Épée	Direct elimination	1156	153 - 2158	1156	1397
Saber	Pool	634	18 - 1249	634	2932
Saber	Direct elimination	1685	650 - 2719	1685	2740

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.