Statistics Profile

Jesse Peirce

1994

VANDERWEGE Academie D'Armes

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Direct elimination	2119	783 - 3454	2119	2119
Foil	Pool	2491	1632 - 3349	1593	2491
Foil	Direct elimination	3345	2164 - 4525	3345	3345

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.