Statistics Profile

Roger Taylor

1960

Cabrillo Academy Of The Sword LLC Capital District Fencing School

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2116	1532 - 2699	2116	2116
Épée	Direct elimination	2193	1367 - 3018	2193	2193
Foil	Pool	1140	777 - 1502	246	1140
Foil	Direct elimination	1302	508 - 2095	1017	1456

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.