Statistics Profile

Reiss Patterson

2008

Cyranos Place

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	826	358 - 1293	826	1459
Épée	Direct elimination	1484	706 - 2261	1354	1819
Foil	Pool	796	0 - 1596	796	796
Foil	Direct elimination	1750	475 - 3024	1750	1750

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.