Statistics Profile

Silas Greenwald

2013

Forge Fencing Teams DUR

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1167	959 - 1374	1061	2604
Foil	Direct elimination	1719	1394 - 2043	1499	2550

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.