Statistics Profile

Matthew Lehman

2005
Scarsdale Fencing Center

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1668 1153 - 2182 1464 1669
Épée Direct elimination 2073 1128 - 3017 1971 2115
Saber Pool 1644 1453 - 1834 1384 1710
Saber Direct elimination 2014 1681 - 2346 1551 2025

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Log in to compare your projected matchup, or create an account with your USFA number to enable it.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.