Statistics Profile

David Jung

2015

Still Point Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	744	450 - 1037	467	2120
Épée	Direct elimination	1876	1258 - 2493	1741	2261
Foil	Pool	684	377 - 990	684	3182
Foil	Direct elimination	1981	1424 - 2537	1894	3099

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.