Statistics Profile

Emma Perrin

2005

Renaissance Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1032	832 - 1231	852	1464
Foil	Direct elimination	922	509 - 1334	890	1390
Saber	Pool	1087	342 - 1831	1087	1087
Saber	Direct elimination	1768	746 - 2789	1768	1768

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.