Statistics Profile

Aidan Lee

2014

Rebel Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1535	767 - 2302	1535	1535
Saber	Pool	424	168 - 679	-238	425
Saber	Direct elimination	1047	606 - 1487	873	1626

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.