Statistics Profile

Tristan Nyquist

2008

Wilmington Fencer's Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1234	313 - 2154	1234	1234
Épée	Direct elimination	1848	616 - 3079	1848	1848
Foil	Pool	613	17 - 1208	613	1624
Foil	Direct elimination	1373	425 - 2320	1373	1978

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.