Statistics Profile

Jonathan Weiler

1973

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1411	737 - 2084	1411	1411
Épée	Direct elimination	1535	376 - 2693	1535	1535
Foil	Pool	1127	396 - 1857	1127	1127
Foil	Direct elimination	1664	467 - 2860	1664	1664

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.