Statistics Profile

Nathan Yung

2015

Halberstadt Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	633	256 - 1009	288	633
Foil	Direct elimination	1028	292 - 1763	1028	1623
Saber	Pool	1204	1007 - 1400	682	1204
Saber	Direct elimination	1551	1281 - 1820	1005	1946

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.