Statistics Profile

Joseph Cho

2002

Rochester Youth Fencers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2181	1889 - 2472	2145	2549
Épée	Direct elimination	2139	1677 - 2600	2080	2595
Foil	Pool	1635	711 - 2558	1635	1635
Foil	Direct elimination	1556	355 - 2756	1556	1556

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.