Statistics Profile

Samuel Ly

2009

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2050	1491 - 2608	2050	2050
Épée	Direct elimination	1390	394 - 2385	1390	1390
Foil	Pool	1380	697 - 2062	1380	1380
Foil	Direct elimination	1628	454 - 2801	1628	1628

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.