Statistics Profile

Cole Sorenson

2002

University Of Wyoming Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	990	480 - 1499	990	1302
Épée	Direct elimination	1550	484 - 2615	1550	1843
Foil	Pool	925	46 - 1803	925	925
Foil	Direct elimination	1277	220 - 2333	1277	1775
Saber	Pool	902	176 - 1627	902	1177
Saber	Direct elimination	1435	428 - 2441	1435	1705

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.