Statistics Profile

Emma Siegel

2013

Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - University City

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	972	460 - 1483	830	972
Épée	Direct elimination	1479	714 - 2243	1479	1882
Foil	Pool	825	200 - 1449	825	2923
Foil	Direct elimination	1400	521 - 2278	1400	1736

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.