Statistics Profile

Rylan Chen

2014

ORO Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	253	0 - 554	253	724
Foil	Direct elimination	984	407 - 1560	792	1409
Saber	Pool	627	157 - 1096	627	1317
Saber	Direct elimination	992	72 - 1911	992	1472

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.