Statistics Profile

Andrew Rams

2007

Winter Garden Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3019	1841 - 4196	3019	3019
Épée	Direct elimination	2456	1292 - 3619	2456	2456
Foil	Pool	1693	1351 - 2034	1273	2514
Foil	Direct elimination	1978	1500 - 2455	1931	2398

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.