Statistics Profile

William Gardner

1984

Boise Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1937	1536 - 2337	1937	1950
Épée	Direct elimination	2299	1646 - 2951	2299	2341
Foil	Pool	1532	1324 - 1739	1523	1737
Foil	Direct elimination	1988	1632 - 2343	1135	2012

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.