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Statistics Profile

Brendan Chen

2010
Manhattan Fencing Center Queens Fencing Club LLC
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1195 255 - 2134 1195 1195
Épée Direct elimination 1422 270 - 2573 1422 1422
Foil Pool 673 9 - 1336 673 1180
Foil Direct elimination 1535 289 - 2780 1535 1535
Saber Pool 1616 1421 - 1810 1525 3264
Saber Direct elimination 1714 1396 - 2031 1635 2569

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.