Statistics Profile

Penelope Peterson

2010

Center for Blade Arts

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1398	1190 - 1605	1284	1571
Épée	Direct elimination	1564	1192 - 1935	1285	2044
Foil	Pool	421	149 - 692	401	756
Foil	Direct elimination	1022	488 - 1555	1022	1954

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.