Statistics Profile

Gavin Cataldi

2011

Dublin Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	855	115 - 1594	855	855
Épée	Direct elimination	1586	301 - 2870	1586	1586
Foil	Pool	728	0 - 1508	728	728
Foil	Direct elimination	2079	640 - 3517	2079	2079
Saber	Pool	945	128 - 1761	945	945
Saber	Direct elimination	1809	541 - 3076	1809	1809

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.