Statistics Profile

Jessica Cheng

2016

LA International Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	362	187 - 536	149	515
Foil	Direct elimination	910	598 - 1221	795	2121
Saber	Pool	2074	1245 - 2902	2074	2074
Saber	Direct elimination	2071	1040 - 3101	2071	2071

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.