Statistics Profile

Raphael Duck

1983
Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - North

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1158 794 - 1521 1016 1296
Épée Direct elimination 1532 837 - 2226 1459 2071
Foil Pool 657 390 - 923 657 1392
Foil Direct elimination 827 359 - 1294 827 1325

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Log in to compare your projected matchup, or create an account with your USFA number to enable it.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.