Statistics Profile

Qixuan (Emily) guo

2014

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2091	1315 - 2866	2091	2466
Épée	Direct elimination	1513	397 - 2628	1513	1630
Foil	Pool	1501	862 - 2139	1319	1501
Foil	Direct elimination	1545	360 - 2729	1545	1820

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.